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fundamental
stock

BAJAJ AUTO LTD.

Hold                Target Price Rs 2,743            Company Overview

Value Parameters                           532977    Bajaj Auto Ltd is into manufacturing of
BSE Code                          BAJAJ-AUTO         motorcycles, scooters and three-wheelers.
NSE Symbol                                           The company has launched brands like Boxer,
CMP                                      Rs 2,365    Caliber, Pulsar and many more. They have also
Face Value                                   Rs 10   launched India's first real cruiser bike, Kawasaki
52 Week High/Low                                     Bajaj Eliminator.
Market Cap (Rs cr)                   2,655/1,913
EPS (Rs) (FY16)                             68,364   Investment Rationale
PE ratio (x)                                     97
                                                 20  We remain “cautiously optimistic” on Bajaj’s
                                                     business outlook in FY16, due to expected
Shareholding Pattern % (Dec’ 15)                     growth in the domestic 3W segment and
                                                     strong overall export growth as company
                                                     intends to venture into few new markets as
                                                     well. Management expects its market share in
                                                     domestic 2W segment to increase by end of FY16
                                                     to 22 % from 16.8% in FY15. Company’s strong
                                                     outlook on domestic three wheeler on account of
                                                     issue of new permits, would help it on volumes
                                                     front, despite company’s smoother performance,
                                                     strong product pipeline and lower crude price
                                                     will help Bajaj in continuing growth. However,
                                                     we believe that ongoing rural slow down would
                                                     have negative impact on industry as well as for
                                                     Bajaj Auto over near term.

                                                     Valuations

                                                     We forecast Bajaj’s domestic volumes to
                                                     recover, although, modestly in FY16. We
                                                     assign a one year price target of Rs 2,743 at
                                                     21x FY16 EPS of Rs 130 per share, and have
                                                     “Accumulate” rating on this stock.

                                                                           4 ARIHANT CAPITAL ¡ FEBRUARY 2016
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